Genoa V Udinese (Serie A)
16th January 2011 1400GMT
Live on Betfair Video and Bet365 Streaming
Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa, Italy
The winter break has left much to ponder for all involved at Genoa who has yet to find the back of the net in 2011, resulting in two goalless draws at home to Lazio and away to Cesena. The recent departure of team lynch pin Luca Toni has meant Genoa now have a void in their attacking arsenal that is unlikely to yield any immediate fix. Goals seem to be the problem for Genoa (2nd lowest goals scored in Serie A betting sites) who in recent years has boasted the attacking talents of Marco Boriello, Diego Milito and Hernan Crespo have now seemingly gone from riches to rags as they have three joint top scorers on a miserly 2 goals each. Udinese have just came off the back of an incredible 4-4 draw away at AC Milan and look to have all their key players including the league’s top scorer Antonio Di Natale and future starlet Alexis Sanchez in fine form. Genoa at home have been far from impressive and since having lost more than they’ve won at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris this season I fancy Udinese to at least come away with a point from this game.
Best price: Lay Genoa @ 2.42 (5/7) with Betfair
Back Udinese @ 3.4 (12/5) with Betfair
Liverpool V Everton (Barclays Premiership)
16th January 2011 1405GMT
Live on Sky Sports HD 1
Anfield, Liverpool, England
It is very rare both teams meet at this stage of the season only a handful of points away from the relegation zone. I wouldn’t go as far to brand this game a relegation 6 pointer but I would be inclined to thinking that the victors of this Merseyside derby may well then go on to turn their season around. Would you believe that on paper Liverpool are the seventh strongest team at home this season? And if they won their game in hand they would be joint 2nd with Chelsea? I think that the King Kenny effect will give the reds a new lease of life and even more so playing Everton in front of what will be a captivated and electric crown inside Anfield. Even without Steven Gerrard, I think Dalgish is tactically very shrewd and a very good motivator of players who need it most (Mr Torres) and as such will probably see off his Scottish counterpart Moyes by the odd goal.
Tipping Liverpool in this game is me relying more on holistic rather than statistical methods by taking into consideration that it is a derby game with a new manager in front of what will be an extremely passionate crowd. In my opinion, anything over even money is a worthwhile bet.
Best price: Back Liverpool @ 23/20 with William Hill
Long shot of the week
Southampton v Notts County (nPower League 1)
Saturday 15th January 2011, 1500GMT
St Mary’s Stadium, Southampton, England
The two form teams collide in this nPower League 1 clash. Both teams have collected 13 points from the last possible 18 and have both registered outstanding FA cup scalps last week. I feel that when you get two teams flowing with confidence then normally one of them shines in a match like this. Paul Ince, who was not the most popular choice taking over at Meadow Lane following the controversial departure of Craig Short has surprisingly found a winning formula at County. The magpies will see this as a perfect opportunity to prove that they mean business and are here to stay in League 1 and with several bookies offering 6/1; it might just be worth a punt. The free flowing Saints have ran riot in their last four league outings by scoring 17 and conceding 2 goals but it must be considered that they have had some slip ups against lesser opponents this season as 5 out of 7 defeats have been against teams outside the top 10 (Rochdale 11th, Brentford 13th, Plymouth 15th, Carlisle 17th and Swindon 18th). These stats may well suggest that on any given day they are very beatable at this level and that 6/1 isn’t a bad shout for a few quid. This tip could easily backfire but at the same time I don’t think Southampton are as nailed on as the bookies would have you believe.
Best price: – Back Notts County @ 6/1 with Bet365 and Betfair
Happy sports Betting online folks!